NHL Scoring Drought Theory

The NHL scoring drought theory can most accurately be described as the correlation between a high production player's average seasonal performance and the current streak of games in which they have not conributed to the scoring of a goal.

The NHL Goal Predictor uses drought theory as a baseline for estimating the next time a player will score. In general this means if a high production player begins a steak of games in which they do not score it becomes exponentially more likely they will contribute during the next game.

How the NHL Goal Predictor uses the drought theory

If a player is on a scoreless streak, and they are continuously logging high amounts of scientifically proven scoring statistics, each subsequent game provides a greatly increased chance of success. The NHL goal predictor uses a proprietary blend of these statistics (analyzed for every single player, every day) and comes up with a daily list of the most likely players to score goals, points & power play points. Additional factors such as a player's recent personal performance, their team's scoring momentum, and opposing team strengths and weaknesses are taken into consideration for the perfect list of candidates.

Streak or Slump?

A scoring drought can indicate several things. A player might be in a slump and seem unable to get to the puck, or they happen to be on the bench during the bulk of their team's scoring opportunities. It happens. This is why the NHL Goal predictor analyzes real time game play statistics for every single player. This prevents predicting players who are cooling down as time goes on or those who are in a scoring slump and failing to break out.

How to interpret NHL Goal Predictor selections

A great example of a player likely to score a goal is shown below.

The green check marks for average shots per game, average power play time on ice per game as well as recent performance are only shown if they are greater than an average high production player. This means everything is going right for the player other than physically scoring a goal. You can also see the player is exceeding his average scoreless streak while maintaining these stats. It's time to score!

The more green check marks the better, but somtimes you might notice yellow alerts indicating a player is producing less than in previous seasons. This warning is not suggesting you hold back a wager, it is merely an indication of low player momentum. A player in this situation will appear on the predictions list beginning much later into a scoreless streak

A great example of a low momentum, but typically high production player is shown below

Use your best judgment

There will never be a foolproof way to guarantee a winning player prop wager, but using the betting tips generated by the NHL Goal Predictor you can be assured some extremely exciting evenings of hockey and hopefully some significant wins to show for it. However, nothing in the world of sports gambling is guaranteed and you should always mix in some personal judgment when taking any betting advice. Is the player you're betting on injured? Recently traded or on Covid protocols? it all makes a difference and some things can never be taken into account by a computer.

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